Market Commentary
Our latest market observations and research.
40 Years of Investment Consistency Amidst Volatility
Summary No one knows the specifics of new economic policies nor when they will begin to affect the economy, but our view from Main Street, Walnut Creek is the positive aspects will outweigh the negatives. Contrary to conventional wisdom, stocks responded very well to...
Election 2016: 7 Crucial Investment Questions Answered
Our Investment Advisory clients experienced nine months of solid performance despite numerous stiff headwinds in 2016. The headwinds started in the opening weeks of the year with a vicious stock market selloff, Brexit related volatility in June, still sputtering...
A Turn in the Tide: The Case for Rising Interest Rates
The purpose of this article is to make the case for a primary trend rise in yields. If this assumption turns out to be correct, it is within the realm of possibilities that this same rally may also be a turn in the tide for the initial advance in a new, very long-term...
2016 Fall Financial Market Outlook
Summary This update focused on the challenges facing investors. Retired investors are especially challenged to both protect and grow their portfolios in today’s low return world. We started by highlighting the dual challenges of high stock market valuations coupled...
A New Cyclical Bull Market in the Oil Patch Has Begun
The price of crude oil topped out in June 2014, then bottomed in February 2016 and has since partially recovered. During this period, the price of oil plunged by 76% and reached historic proportions, even in relation to other energy boom and bust cycles of the past. ...
Stocks Are Breaking the Glass Ceiling: 6 Reasons to Be Bullish
At the beginning of 2000, I unsuccessfully submitted a bearish stock market article, A Turn of the Tide, to a well-known US financial publisher. At the time, in the middle of a market mania, my contrarian warning was unwelcome. Ironically, it was later carried by a...